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AI in 15 — November 03, 2026

November 3, 2026 · 17m 30s
Kate

An AI just opened up another AI's brain and changed sixteen thousandths of one percent of its weights by hand. There was no training at all, and the smaller model's math score went from eight percent to forty-eight.

Kate

Welcome to AI in 15 for Tuesday, November 3, 2026. I'm Kate, your host.

Marcus

And I'm Marcus, your co-host. And before anyone panics, Kate, that forty-eight percent comes with an asterisk. We'll get to it.

Kate

Of course it does. Here's what's coming up. MIT researchers let GPT-6 Astra rewrite other neural networks directly.

Kate

Anthropic's updated IPO filing has seventeen billion dollars in quarterly revenue, and growth is slowing.

Kate

A critical Linux flaw that Claude reportedly turned into a remote exploit is still unpatched on Ubuntu.

Kate

China drafts export controls on frontier AI models.

Kate

Plus glasses that read your lips, AI-designed viruses given to a patient, and mathematicians talking about ego.

Kate

Marcus, this was the top story on Hacker News with more than two thousand points. What did the MIT team actually do?

Marcus

It's a group at MIT CSAIL that includes Omar Khattab, who created DSPy. They call it Weight-Space Programming. Normally, if you want to change a neural network, you train it. You run data through it and nudge millions of numbers a tiny bit at a time with gradient descent. Here they skipped that. They gave a frontier model, OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, the raw weights of another network and asked it to reason about them and then edit them by hand.

Kate

And it could read them?

Marcus

Surprisingly well. They gave it four small networks trained on different Atari games, Breakout, Pong, Pac-Man and Freeway, and it worked out which network played which game from the numbers alone. It identified which shape each small image model draws. Looking only at the middle layers of a little transformer, it worked out which language that transformer had been trained on. [HOST> That's like reading someone's diary by looking at the ink molecules.

Marcus

Pretty much. Then it got to writing. There was a car-on-a-ramp control policy that failed every single time. Astra changed three and a half percent of its weights in one go, and success went from zero to a hundred percent across a thousand and twenty-four runs. It also wrote Breakout networks from scratch that scored about five hundred and seventeen. A network trained the normal way for five hundred million steps scored twenty-five.

Kate

Okay, and the headline number. The Qwen math jump.

Marcus

They took Qwen 3.5 at zero point eight billion parameters, a small model that tends to get stuck repeating itself forever. Astra traced that looping to a single direction spread across two layers. It edited a hundred and thirty-one thousand weights, which is zero point zero one six percent of the model. MATH-500 went from seven point nine to forty-eight point one percent. GSM8K, a grade-school maths benchmark, went from about fourteen to sixty-seven. Instruction following roughly tripled too.

Kate

So where's the asterisk?

Marcus

There are a few, and the top Hacker News comment was basically "read the paper before you lose your mind." First, those gains assume a budget of fifty forward passes, so the model gets fifty runs to land on an answer. With ten to twenty-five, the looping barely improved. Second, they tried the same thing on Gemma 3 at two hundred and seventy million parameters, which doesn't loop much, and maths went from six point eight to seven point seven. Basically nothing.

Kate

So it didn't make Qwen smarter. It took away something that was getting in the way.

Marcus

Exactly, and the authors say so themselves. Weight editing removed an obstacle. It didn't add ability. Imagine someone who keeps saying "um" until time runs out. Stop the "um" and you find out what they actually knew. One more limit: Astra couldn't spot a sycophantic model from the weights alone. It only managed that once it got a tool that showed attention patterns.

Kate

Why do you think it's this good at reading weights in the first place?

Marcus

Nobody outside OpenAI knows. Some commenters suspect OpenAI trained Astra on weight data on purpose. Others point out there's a long line of research on generating weights. The authors call these "very early results." But the idea is new, and it matters for interpretability, for repairing models, and for the old question of models improving other models. Here a model diagnosed a specific bug inside another one and fixed it. That's the part to keep an eye on.

Kate

Quick hits. Anthropic filed a revised S-1 on Monday with its third-quarter numbers. Marcus, what's the top line?

Marcus

About seventeen billion dollars in revenue for the quarter. People quoting the filing say sixteen point nine six. That's up about forty-seven percent from the second quarter's eleven point six billion, and more than ten times the same quarter last year. For scale, the first quarter was four point seven billion. CNBC also reports eight hundred and ninety-five billion dollars in commitments. I'd treat that figure carefully, because coverage of the first filing gave numbers anywhere from two hundred and sixty-five to eight hundred billion.

Kate

Forty-seven percent in a quarter is still enormous. Why are people calling it a slowdown?

Marcus

Because the first two quarters each roughly doubled. And commenters reading the filing say compute and infrastructure costs rose about seventy-seven percent over the quarter, faster than revenue. There are plausible reasons. Anthropic cut prices in September. The cheaper 5.5-tier models arrived, and Opus 5.5 launched on September twenty-second, right at the end of the quarter. And one analyst says the summer's "tokenmaxxing," people burning tokens just because they could, has worn off.

Kate

An FT leak last week said it was profitable, though.

Marcus

On an adjusted basis, and cash-flow positive in the quarter, according to what Anthropic told investors. That's a dollar seventy of revenue for every dollar of compute. Adjusted figures always deserve a careful look, but that's still a different picture from the big losses a year ago.

Kate

And the detail everyone's quoting is on page one eighty-seven.

Marcus

The section is titled "Claude is Accelerating Our Ability to Close the Loop." According to Business Insider, Anthropic's internal use of Claude, valued at retail prices, now costs more than its entire payroll. That's for about fifty-three hundred employees.

Kate

That's quite a sentence to put in a prospectus.

Marcus

It is, but look at what it measures. That's tokens priced at the retail list price, not cash Anthropic actually spent. It's a bit like a bakery saying its staff eat a million dollars of croissants a year at shop prices. And headcount nearly doubled over the year too. It tells you the company uses its own product heavily. It doesn't tell you the AI replaced the people. [HOST> When does it list?

Marcus

After today's midterms. Marketing could start the week of November ninth, with trading before Thanksgiving, at a reported target valuation above two trillion dollars. For comparison, OpenAI just cut its private round from thirty billion to twenty. And Oracle filed on Monday to raise twenty billion dollars in new stock and bonds for its AI buildout. Its stock fell about eight percent, and its free cash flow last fiscal year was negative twenty-three point seven billion.

Kate

So everyone needs capital, and Anthropic is the one asking the public for it.

Kate

Security now. CVE twenty twenty-six, nine eight four three two. Marcus, explain it quickly.

Marcus

It's a use-after-free bug in the Linux kernel, caused by a race condition when an IPv4 TCP connection is being set up. Use-after-free means the kernel keeps using memory it has already handed back, and attackers love that. The bug has been there since kernel 4.4, about ten years. It's rated nine point eight out of ten. Secondary reports say Anthropic showed Claude writing a remote root exploit for it in a research environment, against servers listening on Multipath TCP. I haven't seen that in Anthropic's own disclosure, so for now it's reported, not confirmed.

Kate

And it's still not patched?

Marcus

Not everywhere. Debian, Oracle Linux and Amazon Linux 2023 have fixes. As of the latest reports, Ubuntu and Red Hat Enterprise Linux 8, 9 and 10 don't, almost three weeks on. Sources disagree on which Ubuntu versions are affected. One lists everything from 22.04 to 26.10, another says Canonical's tracker only lists 26.10.

Kate

What should people do in the meantime?

Marcus

If you don't use Multipath TCP, turn it off. Drop IPv4 packets that carry IP options at the firewall, and restrict who can reach your servers. Red Hat says its mitigation "reduces exposure" but "cannot fully prevent it."

Kate

The uncomfortable part is the timing, right?

Marcus

That's it. AI models are getting much faster at finding bugs and building exploits, and patches still ship at human speed, through human release processes. If the gap between "an AI wrote an exploit" and "your distribution shipped a fix" stays at three weeks, attackers will make good use of it. On a related note, Microsoft published research this week on North Korean groups adopting AI in their operations.

Kate

Next, China. Its commerce and science ministries have proposed export controls on frontier AI for the first time.

Marcus

The catalogue adds forty technologies, twenty-three of them in AI. A model's weights, source code and architecture would be restricted if it meets any one of three tests: at least ten to the twenty-six training FLOPs, at least two trillion parameters, or a place in the global top ten at the time of export. Advanced agent capabilities would also be restricted, and agents built for defence or critical infrastructure banned outright.

Kate

What about open source? That's where Chinese labs have done best.

Marcus

Already-published open weights are exempt. But to open-source newly developed restricted technology, you have to report it first, and the document never defines "open source." Using a model through an API or an app doesn't count as exporting it. Running a restricted model locally outside China needs a licence. [HOST> So what does that mean for companies here that self-host DeepSeek or Qwen?

Marcus

That's the part I'd watch. One Hacker News commenter cites OpenRouter data showing open-weight models went from about half of usage to about seventy percent this year, and many of those models are Chinese. And "top ten at the time of export" is a moving target. A model that's fine today could fall under the rules after the next leaderboard update. So does the open-source exemption survive the first really strong Chinese release? I'm not sure it does. Public comment closes on November fifteenth. To be fair, some commenters say this mostly writes down guidance that already existed.

Kate

A fun one that went viral on Hacker News. Subvocal makes glasses that let you talk to your computer without making a sound.

Marcus

The startup raised one point three million dollars from Y Combinator and Afore Capital. You mouth words silently, and the glasses turn them into text. They claim more than two hundred words a minute. Early-bird preorders are four hundred and ninety-nine dollars, with a hundred and ninety-nine dollar deposit, shipping in the first quarter of 2027. [HOST> So it isn't reading my mind.

Marcus

No, only words you deliberately mouth. And Subvocal hasn't published any accuracy numbers. The closest research is Cornell's sonar-based EchoSpeech glasses, about ninety-five percent accurate in a twenty-four-person study. So it's plausible, but I'll wait for reviews.

Kate

I'd honestly use these. Nobody wants to dictate to their laptop in an open-plan office.

Marcus

That's the problem it solves. Voice is a great way to talk to AI that's socially awkward in public. Commenters loved it, asked for clip-ons for prescription glasses, and raised fair privacy questions about face-sensing wearables.

Kate

AI-designed biology has reached a patient. Radical Numerics says it treated someone with AI-designed viruses.

Marcus

Specifically bacteriophages, viruses that infect bacteria and leave human cells alone. The San Francisco lab, which has ties to the Arc Institute, says its Omnii-1 model designed them. Under the FDA's compassionate-use rules, they were given to a patient with an E. coli infection that resisted both antibiotics and existing phage therapies. Before that, the cocktail killed the patient's bacteria in the lab.

Kate

And did it work?

Marcus

They haven't said. There are no patient or physician details, and the "first" claim hasn't been independently checked. Engineered phages have treated patients before, including a well-known 2019 case. So it's a real milestone for the approach, but we don't have the result yet. Drug-resistant infections are a big problem, though, and being able to design new phages in days instead of months could make a real difference.

Kate

And a quick follow-up on the Exin mouse story we mentioned yesterday.

Marcus

One new detail from the founder's thread. Opus 5.5 refused once it realised biology was involved. Opus 5 did a dry run on water and graph paper but stopped before the live procedure. Sonnet 5 did the actual injection, and it paused on its own when the target fell outside the rig's range. Three Claude models, three different lines. It's still a demo with no paper.

Kate

Two quick ones. OpenAI published an engineering post called "Scaling Git."

Marcus

It's about how its Git infrastructure copes now that coding agents generate so much of the code. Hacker News liked it for being free of hype, just engineers with charts. One commenter counts it as the fifth post like this, after Cursor, GitHub and Anthropic. Version control was built for the pace of human commits, and agents commit far faster. [HOST> And Goldman Sachs?

Marcus

Bloomberg reports Goldman has restricted traders and bankers from using some AI tools. Beyond the headline, the details aren't confirmed, so that's all we'll say for now.

Kate

Finally, a guest essay on Terence Tao's blog, "Egoless Mathematics in the AI Era."

Marcus

It's by Karthik C. S., Amit Sahai and Jie Xue, not by Tao himself. Their argument is that mathematics is about truth, not credit, so there's nothing to fear from AI finding proofs. One line: "Its truths do not become more true through the distinction of the person who expresses them."

Kate

Lovely. Did Hacker News accept it?

Marcus

Partly. The obvious reply was that if ego doesn't matter, why are AI companies racing to be first to solve famous problems? Fair point. The egos have just moved to the labs.

Kate

One to watch: Anthropic's roadshow, which could start next week. Now there's a real number to test. Will public investors pay over two trillion for forty-seven percent quarterly growth when compute costs are rising faster?

Marcus

I'd watch the Ubuntu patch first. Plenty of servers are still waiting on that fix.

Kate

That's your AI in 15 for today. See you tomorrow.